Pakistani Rupee Inches Up as Oil Prices Explode 7% on Middle East Strikes

The Pakistani Rupee vis-à-vis US Dollar witnessed an extension in its minimal gains on Wednesday, where the currency rose by 0.01%. The currency appreciated to a level of 277.82, rising by 0.03 Re against the US Dollar, compared to the previous closing rate.
On Tuesday, the value of the Pakistani rupee against US dollar at 277.85, which implies that Wednesday’s change was just a marginal one. Even though the appreciation of the currency was marginal, it is indicative of an era of relative stability in the Pakistani currency amidst volatile currency and commodity markets globally due to geo-political happenings in the Middle East.
Pakistani Rupee Against US Dollar Holds Near One-Month High Globally
In the global market, the US Dollar was trading at levels close to its one-month high on Wednesday owing to increased tension in the Middle East, with investors waiting for an important decision from the Federal Reserve regarding its interest rate. It is worth mentioning that the performance of the Pakistani Rupee vis-à-vis the US Dollar assumes significance because of this reason.
The Aussie weakened following the publication of the weaker-than-expected inflation numbers and the subsequent decline in the chances of an interest rate increase by the Reserve Bank of Australia, trading down 0.37% at $0.69475. The single currency was struggling after its fall to a one-month low in the previous session, adding only 0.03% to trade at $1.1389. Sterling lost 0.03% to trade at $1.3287 at its lowest since July 1, whereas the New Zealand dollar shed 0.08% to trade at $0.5783.
The price of oil surged almost 7% on Wednesday amid major airstrikes that have begun again in the Middle East, putting a halt to any expectations of a soon-to-come conclusion to the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran. The drop in U.S. crude stocks was another factor pushing the price of oil higher. Brent futures advanced $5.70, or 6.8%, to trade at $89.79 per barrel, and WTI crude futures added $4.94, or 6.2%, to trade at $84.20 a barrel.
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Regarding the inter-bank market, the bid price for the dollar was noted as Rs 277.82, while the offer price was noted as Rs 278.02. This was indicative of the small spread that exists when the exchange is stable.
The outlook in the open market was not that good for the PKR, which fell by 5 paise in the purchase of USD and 1 paise in the sale of the same, and ended the trading at 278.92 and 279.88, respectively. In the Euro's case, PKR depreciated by 96 paise in the buying and 36 paise in the selling to close at 319.52 and 322.38, respectively. On the other hand, the PKR lost 3 paise in the buying and 2 paise in the selling of the UAE Dirham, ending the trading at 76.38 and 76.98, respectively.
The disparity between stability in the interbank markets versus weakness in the open market in relation to the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar demonstrates that different pockets within the forex market can react independently in the short run. Considering that oil prices are climbing due to tensions in the Middle East region as well as an interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve that is yet to come out, forex traders should keep an eye on these trends moving forward.







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